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Canada ‘wargames’ scenario of potential US military invasion

Published : Monday, 5 October, 2026 at 11:14 AM

Observer Online Report

Collected Photo

Canada has begun preparing military simulations and war models to address the theoretical scenario of a US military invasion, according to Canadian leadership and defence analysts.

Although Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney noted that the risk of a military attack by the United States remains extremely low and highly unlikely, he emphasized that evaluating all strategic possibilities forms a vital part of national risk management following shifts in US-Canada relations under President Donald Trump.

The development follows escalating tensions driven by new US global tariff policies and repeated statements by President Trump referring to Canada as a potential "51st state." Although the White House reaffirmed its commitment to protecting the Canadian public and military experts view an actual conflict as nearly unimaginable given joint NATO and NORAD defence commitments, Canada has moved to address gaps in its territorial defence planning.

According to military models cited by media reports, an outright conventional attack by superior US forces could see key Canadian strategic positions compromised within a week, forcing Canadian troops into asymmetric warfare while appealing to allies like Britain and France.

Defence scholars note that while any military order to invade Canada would face severe internal resistance within the US military, Canadian authorities are prioritizing defence readiness and strategic autonomy in an increasingly uncertain geopolitical environment.

-SA

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Editor : Iqbal Sobhan Chowdhury

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