Bangladesh’s economy is set to cross a historic milestone in the current fiscal year, with the size of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimated to surpass the half-trillion-dollar mark for the first time, according to provisional estimates released by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS).
The BBS on Wednesday estimated the size of the economy at current prices at Tk61,20,209 crore, or about $501 billion, in FY2025-26, up from Tk55,15,026 crore, or $456 billion, in FY2024-25.
The provisional estimates also show that per capita income increased to $3,020 in FY26 from $2,769 in the previous fiscal year.
According to the BBS, the economy grew by 4.14 per cent at constant prices during FY26, improving from the 3.49 per cent growth recorded in the final accounts of FY25.
Per capita GDP rose to Tk350,098 ($2,866) in FY26 from Tk317,100 ($2,625) a year earlier.
Sector-wise data showed that the services sector remained the main driver of economic growth, recording an estimated growth rate of 4.59 per cent, up from 4.35 per cent in FY25.
The agriculture sector posted a growth rate of 2.78 per cent, slightly higher than the 2.42 per cent recorded in the previous fiscal year.
Industrial growth, however, slowed to 2.86 per cent in FY26 from 3.71 per cent a year earlier.
The provisional estimates also indicated a modest decline in investment and savings indicators. The investment-to-GDP ratio is estimated at 27.93 per cent in FY26, compared with 28.54 per cent in FY25.
Domestic savings declined to 21.38 per cent of GDP from 21.98 per cent, while national savings fell to 26.93 per cent from 27.67 per cent.
The estimates were prepared on the basis of a projected population of 174.81 million and an average exchange rate of Tk122.14 per US dollar during the first nine months of FY26.
The latest provisional figures indicate continued expansion of the economy, supported by higher per capita income and stronger overall growth despite slower industrial performance and a slight moderation in investment and savings ratios.
